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8 contracts · regulatory heat updated daily

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polymarket

Will the CLARITY Act be signed into law in 2026?

YES 58¢ NO 42¢ · ↑2 ↓2 direct · ↑2 ↓0 background
Latest: ↑ bullish CFTC Sues Minnesota to Block State Law 2026-05-19
Next catalyst: CME | Expansion of the Trading and ClearingHours for all Cryptocurrency Futures and Options on Futures Contracts. | [1] · 2026-05-29
critical
▼ cooling / 7d
20 key events
DEMO YES 300 @ 50¢
kalshi

Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

YES 26¢ NO 74¢ · ↑8 ↓2 direct
Latest: → neutral CME | Implementation of the Nasdaq CME Crypto Index Futures Market Maker Program | [2] 2026-05-15
Next catalyst: CME | Expansion of the Trading and ClearingHours for all Cryptocurrency Futures and Options on Futures Contracts. | [1] · 2026-05-29
critical
▼ cooling / 7d
20 key events
DEMO YES 200 @ 54¢
polymarket

SCOTUS rules Trump can fire FTC commissioners?

YES 97¢ NO 3¢
Latest: → neutral FTC Stops Operation that Allegedly Targeted People Seeking Student Loan Debt Relief 2026-04-16
Next catalyst: FTC Requires Boeing to Divest Several Spirit Assets to Proceed with Merger · 30 days from publication date
critical
▼ cooling / 7d
7 key events
DEMO YES 500 @ 90¢
kalshi

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2028 meeting?

YES 20¢ NO 80¢ · ↑1 ↓2 direct
Latest: → neutral Economic Fury Ramps Up Pressure on Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Oil Operations 2026-05-11
Next catalyst: Regulatory Capital Rule: Category I and II Banking Organizations, Banking Organizations with Significant Trading Activity, and Optional Adoption for Other Banking Organizations · 2026-06-18
active
▼ cooling / 7d
20 key events
DEMO NO 100 @ 71¢
polymarket

Will the US enter a recession in 2026?

YES 22¢ NO 78¢
Latest: → neutral Treasury International Capital Data for March 2026-05-18
Next catalyst: Regulatory Capital Rule: Category I and II Banking Organizations, Banking Organizations with Significant Trading Activity, and Optional Adoption for Other Banking Organizations · 2026-06-18
watch
▼ cooling / 7d
20 key events
DEMO YES 500 @ 18¢
polymarket

Marijuana rescheduled by December 31, 2026?

YES 28¢ NO 72¢
Latest: → neutral Treasury Disrupts Sinaloa Cartel Narco-Terrorist Fentanyl Trafficking Operations 2026-05-20
Next catalyst: AG Campbell Secures Agreement With Trump Administration Preventing Further Delays In Medical And Public Health Research · April 1, 2025
watch
▼ cooling / 7d
5 key events
DEMO YES 150 @ 32¢
polymarket

FDA approves Retatrutide in 2026?

YES 23¢ NO 77¢
Latest: → neutral In the Matter of Ariel Betances 2026-05-21
Next catalyst: CN-2026-377-AS (Enmendada) - 12.05.2026 - Formulario y Tarifas que Serán Efectivo a Partir del Año Calendario 2027 · 2027-01-01
watch
▼ cooling / 7d
5 key events
DEMO NO 250 @ 82¢
polymarket

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

YES 23¢ NO 77¢ · ↑0 ↓2 direct
Latest: → neutral Attorney General Bonta Seeks to Halt Trump Administration’s Illegal Greenlight of Oil Transportation in California Pipelines 2026-05-01
Next catalyst: Attorney General Bonta Seeks to Halt Trump Administration’s Illegal Greenlight of Oil Transportation in California Pipelines · June 1, 2026
dormant
▼ cooling / 7d
5 key events
DEMO NO 200 @ 78¢